Los Angeles FC crestLos Angeles FCvsSporting Kansas City crestSporting Kansas City

Los Angeles FC 4-0 Sporting Kansas City — Result, H2H & Form

Major League SoccerSun, 26 Jul 2026 02:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Los Angeles FC70%

Tofiko70% / 17% / 13%
Market78% / 13% / 9%
  • Los Angeles FC
  • Draw
  • Sporting Kansas City

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Los Angeles FC, rating it at 69.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and Los Angeles FC won 3 of 4. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. Sporting Kansas City's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Los Angeles FC's 5 produced 15, at 3.0 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • Sporting Kansas City's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 3 Oct 2026.

Los Angeles FC: LDLWD

Sporting Kansas City: LWLWL

Head-to-head

As of 3 Oct 2026.

  • 4Games
  • 3.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 75%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-13Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles FC3–1
2026-07-26Los Angeles FC vs Sporting Kansas City4–0
2025-06-09Los Angeles FC vs Sporting Kansas City3–1
2025-03-23Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles FC0–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Los Angeles FC vs Sporting Kansas City?
Tofiko's model favours Los Angeles FC (70% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Los Angeles FC vs Sporting Kansas City kick off?
Sun, 26 Jul 2026 02:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
What is the Los Angeles FC vs Sporting Kansas City head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 3 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.

First legSporting Kansas City 3-1 Los Angeles FC13 Sept 2026 →