Los Angeles FCvs
Sporting Kansas CityLos Angeles FC 4-0 Sporting Kansas City — Result, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSun, 26 Jul 2026 02:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Los Angeles FC70%
- Los Angeles FC 70%
- Draw 17%
- Sporting Kansas City 13%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Los Angeles FC, rating it at 69.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Los Angeles FC won all of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 69.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Sporting Kansas City's last 5 produced 17 goals — 3.4 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 5. Los Angeles FC's 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.
The model puts the draw at 17.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 11 Sep 2026.
Los Angeles FC: WDDDL
Sporting Kansas City: LLLDL
Head-to-head
As of 11 Sep 2026.
- 3Games
- 3.33Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | Los Angeles FC vs Sporting Kansas City | 4–0 |
| 2025-06-09 | Los Angeles FC vs Sporting Kansas City | 3–1 |
| 2025-03-23 | Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles FC | 0–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Los Angeles FC vs Sporting Kansas City?
- Tofiko's model favours Los Angeles FC (70% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Los Angeles FC vs Sporting Kansas City kick off?
- Sun, 26 Jul 2026 02:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Los Angeles FC vs Sporting Kansas City head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.33 goals per game.