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Sporting Kansas City crestSporting Kansas CityvsLos Angeles FC crestLos Angeles FC

Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles FC Prediction, H2H & Form

Major League SoccerSun, 13 Sep 2026 00:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Los Angeles FC54%

  • Sporting Kansas City 25%
  • Draw 21%
  • Los Angeles FC 54%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Los Angeles FC, rating it at 53.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and Sporting Kansas City won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 53.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 20.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 21 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Sporting Kansas City: DLLLW

Los Angeles FC: LLDWD

Head-to-head

As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 21 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 3Games
  • 3.33Avg goals
  • 33%Both scored
  • 67%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-07-26Los Angeles FC vs Sporting Kansas City4–0
2025-06-09Los Angeles FC vs Sporting Kansas City3–1
2025-03-23Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles FC0–2

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FAQ

Who will win Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles FC?
Tofiko's model favours Los Angeles FC (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles FC kick off?
Sun, 13 Sep 2026 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
What is the Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles FC head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.33 goals per game.

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