Los Angeles Galaxyvs
D.C. UnitedLos Angeles Galaxy 2-1 D.C. United — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sun, 13 Jul 2025 02:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Los Angeles Galaxy56%
- Los Angeles Galaxy 56%
- Draw 23%
- D.C. United 21%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Los Angeles Galaxy, rating it at 56.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met once, and Los Angeles Galaxy won it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 56.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. D.C. United's last 5 produced 16 goals — 3.2 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Los Angeles Galaxy's 5 produced 8, at 1.6 per game.
The model puts the draw at 22.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026.
Los Angeles Galaxy: DWLDD
D.C. United: LLDDW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026.
- 1Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-13 | Los Angeles Galaxy vs D.C. United | 2–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Los Angeles Galaxy vs D.C. United?
- Tofiko's model favours Los Angeles Galaxy (56% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Los Angeles Galaxy vs D.C. United kick off?
- Sun, 13 Jul 2025 02:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the Los Angeles Galaxy vs D.C. United head-to-head record?
- In their last 1 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.