Los Angeles Galaxyvs
San Jose EarthquakesLos Angeles Galaxy vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction, H2H & Stats
Major League SoccerThu, 20 Aug 2026 02:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs San Jose Earthquakes40%
- Los Angeles Galaxy 39%
- Draw 21%
- San Jose Earthquakes 40%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks San Jose Earthquakes, rating it at 39.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Los Angeles Galaxy won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 39.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 21.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Los Angeles Galaxy: DLLWL
San Jose Earthquakes: DLLWL
Head-to-head
- 3Games
- 1.67Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles Galaxy | 1–1 |
| 2025-06-29 | San Jose Earthquakes(N) vs Los Angeles Galaxy | 1–1 |
| 2025-05-29 | Los Angeles Galaxy vs San Jose Earthquakes | 0–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Los Angeles Galaxy vs San Jose Earthquakes?
- Tofiko's model favours San Jose Earthquakes (40% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Los Angeles Galaxy vs San Jose Earthquakes kick off?
- Thu, 20 Aug 2026 02:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Los Angeles Galaxy vs San Jose Earthquakes head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 0 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.67 goals per game.