Los Angeles Galaxyvs
San Jose EarthquakesLos Angeles Galaxy 1-0 San Jose Earthquakes — Result, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerThu, 20 Aug 2026 02:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Los Angeles Galaxy57%
- Los Angeles Galaxy 57%
- Draw 20%
- San Jose Earthquakes 22%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Los Angeles Galaxy, rating it at 57.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Los Angeles Galaxy won 1 of 4, with 2 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 57.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. San Jose Earthquakes's last 5 produced 17 goals — 3.4 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 5. Los Angeles Galaxy's 5 produced 8, at 1.6 per game.
The model puts the draw at 20.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026.
Los Angeles Galaxy: WLDDL
San Jose Earthquakes: LLLDL
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026.
- 4Games
- 1.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Los Angeles Galaxy vs San Jose Earthquakes | 1–0 |
| 2026-07-26 | San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles Galaxy | 1–1 |
| 2025-06-29 | San Jose Earthquakes(N) vs Los Angeles Galaxy | 1–1 |
| 2025-05-29 | Los Angeles Galaxy vs San Jose Earthquakes | 0–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Los Angeles Galaxy vs San Jose Earthquakes?
- Tofiko's model favours Los Angeles Galaxy (57% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Los Angeles Galaxy vs San Jose Earthquakes kick off?
- Thu, 20 Aug 2026 02:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Los Angeles Galaxy vs San Jose Earthquakes head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.