Los Angeles Galaxyvs
Saint Louis CityLos Angeles Galaxy 1-3 Saint Louis City — Result, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerThu, 23 Jul 2026 02:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Los Angeles Galaxy46%
- Los Angeles Galaxy 46%
- Draw 23%
- Saint Louis City 31%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Los Angeles Galaxy, rating it at 45.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Los Angeles Galaxy won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 45.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 3 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 11 Sep 2026.
Los Angeles Galaxy: LWLDW
Saint Louis City: DWDWD
Head-to-head
As of 11 Sep 2026.
- 3Games
- 4.33Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Los Angeles Galaxy vs Saint Louis City | 1–3 |
| 2025-06-14 | Saint Louis City vs Los Angeles Galaxy | 3–3 |
| 2025-03-09 | Los Angeles Galaxy vs Saint Louis City | 0–3 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Los Angeles Galaxy vs Saint Louis City?
- Tofiko's model favours Los Angeles Galaxy (46% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Los Angeles Galaxy vs Saint Louis City kick off?
- Thu, 23 Jul 2026 02:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Los Angeles Galaxy vs Saint Louis City head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 4.33 goals per game.