Saint Louis Cityvs
Los Angeles GalaxySaint Louis City vs Los Angeles Galaxy Prediction, H2H & Stats
Major League SoccerSun, 11 Oct 2026 23:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Saint Louis City46%
- Saint Louis City 46%
- Draw 23%
- Los Angeles Galaxy 31%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Saint Louis City, rating it at 45.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Saint Louis City won 2 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 45.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Saint Louis City: WWWWD
Los Angeles Galaxy: DLLWL
Head-to-head
- 3Games
- 4.33Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Los Angeles Galaxy vs Saint Louis City | 1–3 |
| 2025-06-14 | Saint Louis City vs Los Angeles Galaxy | 3–3 |
| 2025-03-09 | Los Angeles Galaxy vs Saint Louis City | 0–3 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Saint Louis City vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
- Tofiko's model favours Saint Louis City (46% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Saint Louis City vs Los Angeles Galaxy kick off?
- Sun, 11 Oct 2026 23:00 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Saint Louis City vs Los Angeles Galaxy head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 4.33 goals per game.