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Minnesota United FC crestMinnesota United FCvsCF Montreal crestCF Montreal

Minnesota United FC 1-0 CF Montreal — Result, H2H & Form

Major League Soccer 2026Sun, 02 Mar 2025 01:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Minnesota United FC65%

  • Minnesota United FC 65%
  • Draw 21%
  • CF Montreal 14%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Minnesota United FC, rating it at 65.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met once, and Minnesota United FC won it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 65.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 21.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 24 Aug 2026.

Minnesota United FC: WLDWD

CF Montreal: DWDDL

Head-to-head

As of 24 Aug 2026.

  • 1Games
  • 1.00Avg goals
  • 0%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-03-02Minnesota United FC vs CF Montreal1–0

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FAQ

Who will win Minnesota United FC vs CF Montreal?
Tofiko's model favours Minnesota United FC (65% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Minnesota United FC vs CF Montreal kick off?
Sun, 02 Mar 2025 01:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
What is the Minnesota United FC vs CF Montreal head-to-head record?
In their last 1 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.00 goals per game.

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