Minnesota United FC 1-0 CF Montreal — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sun, 02 Mar 2025 01:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Minnesota United FC65%
- Minnesota United FC 65%
- Draw 21%
- CF Montreal 14%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Minnesota United FC, rating it at 65.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met once, and Minnesota United FC won it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 65.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 21.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 24 Aug 2026.
Minnesota United FC: WLDWD
CF Montreal: DWDDL
Head-to-head
As of 24 Aug 2026.
- 1Games
- 1.00Avg goals
- 0%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-02 | Minnesota United FC vs CF Montreal | 1–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Minnesota United FC vs CF Montreal?
- Tofiko's model favours Minnesota United FC (65% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Minnesota United FC vs CF Montreal kick off?
- Sun, 02 Mar 2025 01:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the Minnesota United FC vs CF Montreal head-to-head record?
- In their last 1 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.00 goals per game.