Minnesota United FC crestMinnesota United FCvsFC Dallas crestFC Dallas

Minnesota United FC 1-2 FC Dallas — Result, H2H & Form

Major League SoccerThu, 10 Sep 2026 00:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Minnesota United FC46%

Tofiko46% / 23% / 31%
Market52% / 24% / 25%
  • Minnesota United FC
  • Draw
  • FC Dallas

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Minnesota United FC, rating it at 46.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and Minnesota United FC won 2 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. Minnesota United FC's last 5 produced 27 goals — 5.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. FC Dallas's 5 produced 14, at 2.8 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • Minnesota United FC's games are very high-scoring at 5.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 3 Oct 2026.

Minnesota United FC: LLLLL

FC Dallas: WDWWW

Head-to-head

As of 3 Oct 2026.

  • 4Games
  • 1.75Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-10Minnesota United FC vs FC Dallas1–2
2026-04-21FC Dallas vs Minnesota United FC0–1
2025-07-05FC Dallas vs Minnesota United FC1–2
2025-04-20Minnesota United FC vs FC Dallas0–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Minnesota United FC vs FC Dallas?
Tofiko's model favours Minnesota United FC (46% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Minnesota United FC vs FC Dallas kick off?
Thu, 10 Sep 2026 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
What is the Minnesota United FC vs FC Dallas head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 1.75 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legFC Dallas 1-2 Minnesota United FC5 Jul 2025 →