Minnesota United FCvs
FC DallasMinnesota United FC vs FC Dallas Prediction, H2H & Stats
Major League SoccerThu, 10 Sep 2026 00:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Minnesota United FC52%
- Minnesota United FC 52%
- Draw 23%
- FC Dallas 25%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Minnesota United FC, rating it at 52.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Minnesota United FC won 2 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 52.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. FC Dallas's last 5 produced 18 goals — 3.6 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Minnesota United FC's 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.
The model puts the draw at 23.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Minnesota United FC: DLDLL
FC Dallas: LDWWL
Head-to-head
- 3Games
- 1.33Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-21 | FC Dallas vs Minnesota United FC | 0–1 |
| 2025-07-05 | FC Dallas vs Minnesota United FC | 1–2 |
| 2025-04-20 | Minnesota United FC vs FC Dallas | 0–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Minnesota United FC vs FC Dallas?
- Tofiko's model favours Minnesota United FC (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Minnesota United FC vs FC Dallas kick off?
- Thu, 10 Sep 2026 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Minnesota United FC vs FC Dallas head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 1.33 goals per game.