Minnesota United FCvs
FC DallasMinnesota United FC vs FC Dallas Prediction, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerThu, 10 Sep 2026 00:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Minnesota United FC52%
- Minnesota United FC 52%
- Draw 23%
- FC Dallas 25%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Minnesota United FC, rating it at 52.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Minnesota United FC won 2 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 52.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- FC Dallas's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 17 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Minnesota United FC: WLDWD
FC Dallas: LWWLW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 17 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 3Games
- 1.33Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-21 | FC Dallas vs Minnesota United FC | 0–1 |
| 2025-07-05 | FC Dallas vs Minnesota United FC | 1–2 |
| 2025-04-20 | Minnesota United FC vs FC Dallas | 0–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Minnesota United FC vs FC Dallas?
- Tofiko's model favours Minnesota United FC (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Minnesota United FC vs FC Dallas kick off?
- Thu, 10 Sep 2026 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Minnesota United FC vs FC Dallas head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 1.33 goals per game.