FC Dallasvs
Minnesota United FCFC Dallas 1-2 Minnesota United FC — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sat, 05 Jul 2025 00:55 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Minnesota United FC41%
- FC Dallas 35%
- Draw 25%
- Minnesota United FC 41%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Minnesota United FC, rating it at 40.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and FC Dallas won 1 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 40.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- FC Dallas's games are very high-scoring at 5.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 11 Sep 2026.
FC Dallas: WWDLW
Minnesota United FC: LLDWL
Head-to-head
As of 11 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 1.75Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Minnesota United FC vs FC Dallas | 1–2 |
| 2026-04-21 | FC Dallas vs Minnesota United FC | 0–1 |
| 2025-07-05 | FC Dallas vs Minnesota United FC | 1–2 |
| 2025-04-20 | Minnesota United FC vs FC Dallas | 0–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win FC Dallas vs Minnesota United FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Minnesota United FC (41% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does FC Dallas vs Minnesota United FC kick off?
- Sat, 05 Jul 2025 00:55 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the FC Dallas vs Minnesota United FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 1.75 goals per game.