Minnesota United FCvs
Seattle Sounders FCMinnesota United FC 1-0 Seattle Sounders FC — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sun, 17 Aug 2025 00:55 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Minnesota United FC49%
- Minnesota United FC 49%
- Draw 24%
- Seattle Sounders FC 27%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Minnesota United FC, rating it at 48.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Minnesota United FC won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 48.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Minnesota United FC's last 5 produced 27 goals — 5.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Seattle Sounders FC's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
The model puts the draw at 24.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Minnesota United FC's games are very high-scoring at 5.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 11 Sep 2026.
Minnesota United FC: LLDWL
Seattle Sounders FC: DDDLL
Head-to-head
As of 11 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-17 | Minnesota United FC vs Seattle Sounders FC | 1–0 |
| 2025-06-01 | Seattle Sounders FC vs Minnesota United FC | 2–3 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Minnesota United FC vs Seattle Sounders FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Minnesota United FC (49% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Minnesota United FC vs Seattle Sounders FC kick off?
- Sun, 17 Aug 2025 00:55 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the Minnesota United FC vs Seattle Sounders FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.