Nashville SCvs
Chicago FireNashville SC vs Chicago Fire Prediction, H2H & Stats
Major League SoccerSun, 20 Sep 2026 01:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Nashville SC53%
- Nashville SC 53%
- Draw 21%
- Chicago Fire 26%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Nashville SC, rating it at 53.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Nashville SC won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 53.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 20.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Nashville SC: LWWWW
Chicago Fire: LLWWW
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 5.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-15 | Chicago Fire vs Nashville SC | 0–2 |
| 2025-04-27 | Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire | 7–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire?
- Tofiko's model favours Nashville SC (53% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire kick off?
- Sun, 20 Sep 2026 01:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 5.50 goals per game.