Nashville SCvs
Chicago FireNashville SC vs Chicago Fire Prediction, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSun, 20 Sep 2026 01:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Nashville SC53%
- Nashville SC 53%
- Draw 21%
- Chicago Fire 26%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Nashville SC, rating it at 53.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Nashville SC won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 53.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 20.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 27 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Nashville SC: WWWLW
Chicago Fire: DWWWW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 27 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 2Games
- 5.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-15 | Chicago Fire vs Nashville SC | 0–2 |
| 2025-04-27 | Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire | 7–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire?
- Tofiko's model favours Nashville SC (53% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire kick off?
- Sun, 20 Sep 2026 01:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 5.50 goals per game.