Nashville SC 2-2 New York City FC — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sat, 31 May 2025 20:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Nashville SC46%
- Nashville SC 46%
- Draw 25%
- New York City FC 29%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Nashville SC, rating it at 45.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Nashville SC won 1 of 4, with 2 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 45.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 12 Sep 2026.
Nashville SC: LDWWW
New York City FC: LDDDL
Head-to-head
As of 12 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | New York City FC vs Nashville SC | 0–0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Nashville SC vs New York City FC | 2–1 |
| 2025-08-17 | New York City FC vs Nashville SC | 2–1 |
| 2025-05-31 | Nashville SC vs New York City FC | 2–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Nashville SC vs New York City FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Nashville SC (46% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Nashville SC vs New York City FC kick off?
- Sat, 31 May 2025 20:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the Nashville SC vs New York City FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.