New York City FCvs
Nashville SCNew York City FC vs Nashville SC Prediction, H2H & Stats
Major League SoccerFri, 04 Sep 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs New York City FC38%
- New York City FC 38%
- Draw 25%
- Nashville SC 37%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks New York City FC, rating it at 38.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and New York City FC won 1 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 38.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 25.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
New York City FC: DWWLL
Nashville SC: LWWWW
Head-to-head
- 3Games
- 3.33Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Nashville SC vs New York City FC | 2–1 |
| 2025-08-17 | New York City FC vs Nashville SC | 2–1 |
| 2025-05-31 | Nashville SC vs New York City FC | 2–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win New York City FC vs Nashville SC?
- Tofiko's model favours New York City FC (38% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does New York City FC vs Nashville SC kick off?
- Fri, 04 Sep 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the New York City FC vs Nashville SC head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.33 goals per game.