New York City FCvs
Nashville SCNew York City FC vs Nashville SC Prediction, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerFri, 04 Sep 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs New York City FC38%
- New York City FC 38%
- Draw 25%
- Nashville SC 37%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks New York City FC, rating it at 38.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and New York City FC won 1 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 38.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 25.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 13 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
New York City FC: LLLLW
Nashville SC: WWLWL
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 13 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 3Games
- 3.33Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Nashville SC vs New York City FC | 2–1 |
| 2025-08-17 | New York City FC vs Nashville SC | 2–1 |
| 2025-05-31 | Nashville SC vs New York City FC | 2–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win New York City FC vs Nashville SC?
- Tofiko's model favours New York City FC (38% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does New York City FC vs Nashville SC kick off?
- Fri, 04 Sep 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the New York City FC vs Nashville SC head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.33 goals per game.