Nashville SCvs
Toronto FCNashville SC vs Toronto FC Prediction, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSun, 27 Sep 2026 00:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Nashville SC61%
- Nashville SC 61%
- Draw 23%
- Toronto FC 16%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Nashville SC, rating it at 61.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Nashville SC won 2 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 61.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Toronto FC's last 5 produced 22 goals — 4.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Nashville SC's 5 produced 13, at 2.6 per game.
The model puts the draw at 22.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Toronto FC's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 11 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 15 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Nashville SC: LDWWW
Toronto FC: WDDWD
Head-to-head
As of 11 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 15 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 3Games
- 2.33Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Toronto FC vs Nashville SC | 2–1 |
| 2025-07-20 | Nashville SC vs Toronto FC | 1–0 |
| 2025-05-24 | Toronto FC vs Nashville SC | 1–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Nashville SC vs Toronto FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Nashville SC (61% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Nashville SC vs Toronto FC kick off?
- Sun, 27 Sep 2026 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Nashville SC vs Toronto FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.33 goals per game.