Toronto FC 2-1 Nashville SC — Result, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerWed, 09 Sep 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Nashville SC44%
- Toronto FC
- Draw
- Nashville SC
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Nashville SC, rating it at 44.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Toronto FC won 1 of 4. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. Toronto FC's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 5. Nashville SC's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Toronto FC's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 3 Oct 2026.
Toronto FC: LLLWD
Nashville SC: WWDLD
Head-to-head
As of 3 Oct 2026.
- 4Games
- 2.25Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | Nashville SC vs Toronto FC | 2–0 |
| 2026-09-09 | Toronto FC vs Nashville SC | 2–1 |
| 2025-07-20 | Nashville SC vs Toronto FC | 1–0 |
| 2025-05-24 | Toronto FC vs Nashville SC | 1–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Toronto FC vs Nashville SC?
- Tofiko's model favours Nashville SC (44% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Toronto FC vs Nashville SC kick off?
- Wed, 09 Sep 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Toronto FC vs Nashville SC head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 3 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.25 goals per game.