Toronto FC crestToronto FCvsNashville SC crestNashville SC

Toronto FC 2-1 Nashville SC — Result, H2H & Form

Major League SoccerWed, 09 Sep 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Nashville SC44%

Tofiko30% / 26% / 44%
Market28% / 26% / 47%
  • Toronto FC
  • Draw
  • Nashville SC

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Nashville SC, rating it at 44.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and Toronto FC won 1 of 4. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. Toronto FC's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 5. Nashville SC's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • Toronto FC's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 3 Oct 2026.

Toronto FC: LLLWD

Nashville SC: WWDLD

Head-to-head

As of 3 Oct 2026.

  • 4Games
  • 2.25Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-27Nashville SC vs Toronto FC2–0
2026-09-09Toronto FC vs Nashville SC2–1
2025-07-20Nashville SC vs Toronto FC1–0
2025-05-24Toronto FC vs Nashville SC1–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Toronto FC vs Nashville SC?
Tofiko's model favours Nashville SC (44% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Toronto FC vs Nashville SC kick off?
Wed, 09 Sep 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
What is the Toronto FC vs Nashville SC head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 3 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.25 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legNashville SC 2-0 Toronto FC27 Sept 2026 →