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Toronto FC crestToronto FCvsNashville SC crestNashville SC

Toronto FC vs Nashville SC Prediction, H2H & Stats

Major League SoccerWed, 09 Sep 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Nashville SC47%

Toronto FC 28%
Draw 25%
Nashville SC 47%
  • Toronto FC 28%
  • Draw 25%
  • Nashville SC 47%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Nashville SC, rating it at 47.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Toronto FC won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 47.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 24.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Toronto FC: DLDDL

Nashville SC: LWWWW

Head-to-head

  • 2Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-07-20Nashville SC vs Toronto FC1–0
2025-05-24Toronto FC vs Nashville SC1–2

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FAQ

Who will win Toronto FC vs Nashville SC?
Tofiko's model favours Nashville SC (47% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Toronto FC vs Nashville SC kick off?
Wed, 09 Sep 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
What is the Toronto FC vs Nashville SC head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

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