Toronto FC crestToronto FCvsNashville SC crestNashville SC

Toronto FC 2-1 Nashville SC — Result, H2H & Form

Major League SoccerWed, 09 Sep 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Nashville SC44%

  • Toronto FC 30%
  • Draw 26%
  • Nashville SC 44%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Nashville SC, rating it at 44.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and Toronto FC won 1 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 44.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

They arrive from very different football. Toronto FC's last 5 produced 22 goals — 4.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Nashville SC's 5 produced 13, at 2.6 per game.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Toronto FC's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 12 Sep 2026.

Toronto FC: WDDWD

Nashville SC: LDWWW

Head-to-head

As of 12 Sep 2026.

  • 3Games
  • 2.33Avg goals
  • 67%Both scored
  • 67%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-09Toronto FC vs Nashville SC2–1
2025-07-20Nashville SC vs Toronto FC1–0
2025-05-24Toronto FC vs Nashville SC1–2

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FAQ

Who will win Toronto FC vs Nashville SC?
Tofiko's model favours Nashville SC (44% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Toronto FC vs Nashville SC kick off?
Wed, 09 Sep 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
What is the Toronto FC vs Nashville SC head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.33 goals per game.

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Reverse fixtureNashville SC vs Toronto FC27 Sept 2026 →