Toronto FC 2-1 Nashville SC — Result, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerWed, 09 Sep 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Nashville SC44%
- Toronto FC 30%
- Draw 26%
- Nashville SC 44%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Nashville SC, rating it at 44.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Toronto FC won 1 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 44.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Toronto FC's last 5 produced 22 goals — 4.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Nashville SC's 5 produced 13, at 2.6 per game.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Toronto FC's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 12 Sep 2026.
Toronto FC: WDDWD
Nashville SC: LDWWW
Head-to-head
As of 12 Sep 2026.
- 3Games
- 2.33Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Toronto FC vs Nashville SC | 2–1 |
| 2025-07-20 | Nashville SC vs Toronto FC | 1–0 |
| 2025-05-24 | Toronto FC vs Nashville SC | 1–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Toronto FC vs Nashville SC?
- Tofiko's model favours Nashville SC (44% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Toronto FC vs Nashville SC kick off?
- Wed, 09 Sep 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Toronto FC vs Nashville SC head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.33 goals per game.