New England Revolutionvs
New York City FCNew England Revolution vs New York City FC Prediction, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSun, 23 Aug 2026 20:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs New England Revolution38%
- New England Revolution 38%
- Draw 25%
- New York City FC 37%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick New England Revolution, rating it at 38.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and New England Revolution won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 38.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 25.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026.
New England Revolution: WLLDW
New York City FC: LLLLW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026.
- 2Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-19 | New England Revolution vs New York City FC | 2–0 |
| 2025-03-15 | New York City FC vs New England Revolution | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win New England Revolution vs New York City FC?
- Tofiko's model favours New England Revolution (38% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does New England Revolution vs New York City FC kick off?
- Sun, 23 Aug 2026 20:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the New England Revolution vs New York City FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.