New York City FCvs
New England RevolutionNew York City FC 1-2 New England Revolution — Result, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerThu, 10 Sep 2026 00:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs New York City FC54%
- New York City FC 54%
- Draw 24%
- New England Revolution 22%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick New York City FC, rating it at 54.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and New York City FC won 1 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 54.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 11 Sep 2026.
New York City FC: LDDDL
New England Revolution: WLWDW
Head-to-head
As of 11 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | New York City FC vs New England Revolution | 1–2 |
| 2026-08-23 | New England Revolution vs New York City FC | 1–1 |
| 2025-04-19 | New England Revolution vs New York City FC | 2–0 |
| 2025-03-15 | New York City FC vs New England Revolution | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win New York City FC vs New England Revolution?
- Tofiko's model favours New York City FC (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does New York City FC vs New England Revolution kick off?
- Thu, 10 Sep 2026 00:00 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the New York City FC vs New England Revolution head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.