New York City FCvs
New York Red BullsNew York City FC 0-1 New York Red Bulls — Result, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerFri, 18 Sep 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs New York City FC49%
Tofiko49% / 26% / 25%
Market50% / 24% / 26%
- New York City FC
- Draw
- New York Red Bulls
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick New York City FC, rating it at 49.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 5 times, and New York City FC won 3 of 5, with 1 drawn. Across 5 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 3 Oct 2026.
New York City FC: DLWLD
New York Red Bulls: LWWLD
Head-to-head
As of 3 Oct 2026.
- 5Games
- 2.80Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 40%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls | 0–1 |
| 2026-05-16 | New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC | 1–1 |
| 2026-04-29 | New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC | 1–3 |
| 2025-09-27 | New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC | 2–3 |
| 2025-05-17 | New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls | 2–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls?
- Tofiko's model favours New York City FC (49% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls kick off?
- Fri, 18 Sep 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls head-to-head record?
- In their last 5 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.80 goals per game.