New York Red Bulls 2-3 New York City FC — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sat, 27 Sep 2025 23:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs New York Red Bulls39%
Tofiko39% / 26% / 35%
Market41% / 26% / 33%
- New York Red Bulls
- Draw
- New York City FC
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick New York Red Bulls, rating it at 38.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 5 times, and New York Red Bulls won 1 of 5, with 1 drawn. Across 5 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 3 Oct 2026.
New York Red Bulls: LWWLD
New York City FC: DLWLD
Head-to-head
As of 3 Oct 2026.
- 5Games
- 2.80Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 40%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls | 0–1 |
| 2026-05-16 | New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC | 1–1 |
| 2026-04-29 | New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC | 1–3 |
| 2025-09-27 | New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC | 2–3 |
| 2025-05-17 | New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls | 2–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC?
- Tofiko's model favours New York Red Bulls (39% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC kick off?
- Sat, 27 Sep 2025 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 5 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.80 goals per game.