New York Red Bulls crestNew York Red BullsvsNew York City FC crestNew York City FC

New York Red Bulls 2-3 New York City FC — Result, H2H & Form

Major League Soccer 2026Sat, 27 Sep 2025 23:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs New York Red Bulls39%

Tofiko39% / 26% / 35%
Market41% / 26% / 33%
  • New York Red Bulls
  • Draw
  • New York City FC

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick New York Red Bulls, rating it at 38.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 5 times, and New York Red Bulls won 1 of 5, with 1 drawn. Across 5 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 3 Oct 2026.

New York Red Bulls: LWWLD

New York City FC: DLWLD

Head-to-head

As of 3 Oct 2026.

  • 5Games
  • 2.80Avg goals
  • 60%Both scored
  • 40%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-18New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls0–1
2026-05-16New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC1–1
2026-04-29New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC1–3
2025-09-27New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC2–3
2025-05-17New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls2–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC?
Tofiko's model favours New York Red Bulls (39% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC kick off?
Sat, 27 Sep 2025 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
What is the New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC head-to-head record?
In their last 5 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.80 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.

First legNew York City FC 0-1 New York Red Bulls18 Sept 2026 →