New York Red Bullsvs
New York City FCNew York Red Bulls 2-3 New York City FC — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sat, 27 Sep 2025 23:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs New York Red Bulls39%
- New York Red Bulls 39%
- Draw 26%
- New York City FC 35%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick New York Red Bulls, rating it at 38.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and New York Red Bulls won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 38.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 4 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 11 Sep 2026.
New York Red Bulls: LDLDL
New York City FC: LDDDL
Head-to-head
As of 11 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 3.25Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC | 1–1 |
| 2026-04-29 | New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC | 1–3 |
| 2025-09-27 | New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC | 2–3 |
| 2025-05-17 | New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls | 2–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC?
- Tofiko's model favours New York Red Bulls (39% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC kick off?
- Sat, 27 Sep 2025 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.25 goals per game.