New York Red Bullsvs
Chicago FireNew York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire Prediction, H2H & Stats
Major League SoccerSat, 22 Aug 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs New York Red Bulls40%
- New York Red Bulls 40%
- Draw 22%
- Chicago Fire 38%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks New York Red Bulls, rating it at 39.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and New York Red Bulls won 2 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 39.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 22.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
New York Red Bulls: LLWDW
Chicago Fire: LLWWW
Head-to-head
- 3Games
- 2.67Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | Chicago Fire vs New York Red Bulls | 1–3 |
| 2025-07-27 | Chicago Fire vs New York Red Bulls | 1–0 |
| 2025-04-05 | New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire | 2–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire?
- Tofiko's model favours New York Red Bulls (40% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire kick off?
- Sat, 22 Aug 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.67 goals per game.