New York Red Bulls crestNew York Red BullsvsChicago Fire crestChicago Fire

New York Red Bulls 1-1 Chicago Fire — Result, H2H & Form

Major League SoccerSat, 22 Aug 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs New York Red Bulls46%

Tofiko46% / 23% / 31%
Market38% / 23% / 38%
  • New York Red Bulls
  • Draw
  • Chicago Fire

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks New York Red Bulls, rating it at 45.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and New York Red Bulls won 2 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. Chicago Fire's last 5 produced 17 goals — 3.4 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 4. New York Red Bulls's 5 produced 7, at 1.4 per game.

Recent form

As of 3 Oct 2026.

New York Red Bulls: LWWLD

Chicago Fire: WLLDD

Head-to-head

As of 3 Oct 2026.

  • 4Games
  • 2.50Avg goals
  • 75%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-22New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire1–1
2026-05-09Chicago Fire vs New York Red Bulls1–3
2025-07-27Chicago Fire vs New York Red Bulls1–0
2025-04-05New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire2–1

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FAQ

Who will win New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire?
Tofiko's model favours New York Red Bulls (46% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire kick off?
Sat, 22 Aug 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
What is the New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legChicago Fire 1-0 New York Red Bulls27 Jul 2025 →