New York Red Bulls 1-1 Chicago Fire — Result, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSat, 22 Aug 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs New York Red Bulls46%
- New York Red Bulls
- Draw
- Chicago Fire
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks New York Red Bulls, rating it at 45.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and New York Red Bulls won 2 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. Chicago Fire's last 5 produced 17 goals — 3.4 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 4. New York Red Bulls's 5 produced 7, at 1.4 per game.
Recent form
As of 3 Oct 2026.
New York Red Bulls: LWWLD
Chicago Fire: WLLDD
Head-to-head
As of 3 Oct 2026.
- 4Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire | 1–1 |
| 2026-05-09 | Chicago Fire vs New York Red Bulls | 1–3 |
| 2025-07-27 | Chicago Fire vs New York Red Bulls | 1–0 |
| 2025-04-05 | New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire?
- Tofiko's model favours New York Red Bulls (46% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire kick off?
- Sat, 22 Aug 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.