Chicago Firevs
New York Red BullsChicago Fire 1-0 New York Red Bulls — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sun, 27 Jul 2025 00:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Chicago Fire52%
Tofiko52% / 22% / 26%
- Chicago Fire
- Draw
- New York Red Bulls
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Chicago Fire, rating it at 52.4% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Chicago Fire won 1 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. Chicago Fire's last 5 produced 17 goals — 3.4 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 4. New York Red Bulls's 5 produced 7, at 1.4 per game.
Recent form
As of 3 Oct 2026.
Chicago Fire: WLLDD
New York Red Bulls: LWWLD
Head-to-head
As of 3 Oct 2026.
- 4Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire | 1–1 |
| 2026-05-09 | Chicago Fire vs New York Red Bulls | 1–3 |
| 2025-07-27 | Chicago Fire vs New York Red Bulls | 1–0 |
| 2025-04-05 | New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Chicago Fire vs New York Red Bulls?
- Tofiko's model favours Chicago Fire (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Chicago Fire vs New York Red Bulls kick off?
- Sun, 27 Jul 2025 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the Chicago Fire vs New York Red Bulls head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.