New York Red Bullsvs
Chicago FireNew York Red Bulls 1-1 Chicago Fire — Result, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSat, 22 Aug 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs New York Red Bulls46%
- New York Red Bulls 46%
- Draw 23%
- Chicago Fire 31%
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Create a free accountModel families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks New York Red Bulls, rating it at 45.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and New York Red Bulls won 2 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 45.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 22.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026.
New York Red Bulls: DLLWL
Chicago Fire: DWWWW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026.
- 4Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire | 1–1 |
| 2026-05-09 | Chicago Fire vs New York Red Bulls | 1–3 |
| 2025-07-27 | Chicago Fire vs New York Red Bulls | 1–0 |
| 2025-04-05 | New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire?
- Tofiko's model favours New York Red Bulls (46% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire kick off?
- Sat, 22 Aug 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.