New York Red Bullsvs
FC CincinnatiNew York Red Bulls 0-1 FC Cincinnati — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sat, 04 Oct 2025 23:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Cincinnati38%
- New York Red Bulls 36%
- Draw 26%
- FC Cincinnati 38%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Cincinnati, rating it at 38.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and New York Red Bulls won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 38.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026.
New York Red Bulls: DLLWL
FC Cincinnati: DWDLW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026.
- 3Games
- 1.33Avg goals
- 0%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls | 2–0 |
| 2025-10-04 | New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati | 0–1 |
| 2025-02-23 | FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Cincinnati (38% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati kick off?
- Sat, 04 Oct 2025 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.33 goals per game.