New York Red Bullsvs
FC CincinnatiNew York Red Bulls 0-1 FC Cincinnati — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sat, 04 Oct 2025 23:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Cincinnati38%
- New York Red Bulls
- Draw
- FC Cincinnati
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Cincinnati, rating it at 38.2% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and New York Red Bulls won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. FC Cincinnati's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 5. New York Red Bulls's 5 produced 7, at 1.4 per game.
What to keep in mind
- FC Cincinnati's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 4 Oct 2026.
New York Red Bulls: LWWLD
FC Cincinnati: LDDLL
Head-to-head
As of 4 Oct 2026.
- 3Games
- 1.33Avg goals
- 0%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls | 2–0 |
| 2025-10-04 | New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati | 0–1 |
| 2025-02-23 | FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls | 1–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Cincinnati (38% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati kick off?
- Sat, 04 Oct 2025 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.33 goals per game.