FC Cincinnati crestFC CincinnativsNew York Red Bulls crestNew York Red Bulls

FC Cincinnati 1-0 New York Red Bulls — Result, H2H & Form

Major League Soccer 2026Sun, 23 Feb 2025 00:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs FC Cincinnati52%

Tofiko52% / 25% / 22%
  • FC Cincinnati
  • Draw
  • New York Red Bulls

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick FC Cincinnati, rating it at 52.4% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and FC Cincinnati won all of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. FC Cincinnati's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 5. New York Red Bulls's 5 produced 7, at 1.4 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • FC Cincinnati's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 4 Oct 2026.

FC Cincinnati: LDDLL

New York Red Bulls: LWWLD

Head-to-head

As of 4 Oct 2026.

  • 3Games
  • 1.33Avg goals
  • 0%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-25FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls2–0
2025-10-04New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati0–1
2025-02-23FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls1–0

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FAQ

Who will win FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls?
Tofiko's model favours FC Cincinnati (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls kick off?
Sun, 23 Feb 2025 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
What is the FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.33 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legNew York Red Bulls 0-1 FC Cincinnati4 Oct 2025 →