New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami CF Prediction, H2H & Stats
Major League SoccerSat, 24 Oct 2026 21:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Inter Miami CF48%
- New York Red Bulls 32%
- Draw 21%
- Inter Miami CF 48%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Inter Miami CF, rating it at 47.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and New York Red Bulls won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 47.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Inter Miami CF's last 5 produced 26 goals — 5.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. New York Red Bulls's 5 produced 16, at 3.2 per game.
The model puts the draw at 20.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Inter Miami CF's games are very high-scoring at 5.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
New York Red Bulls: LLWDW
Inter Miami CF: WWWWW
Head-to-head
- 3Games
- 3.67Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-10 | Inter Miami CF vs New York Red Bulls | 0–0 |
| 2025-07-19 | New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami CF | 1–5 |
| 2025-05-03 | Inter Miami CF vs New York Red Bulls | 4–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami CF?
- Tofiko's model favours Inter Miami CF (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami CF kick off?
- Sat, 24 Oct 2026 21:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami CF head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.67 goals per game.