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Columbus Crew crestColumbus CrewvsToronto FC crestToronto FC

Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC Prediction, H2H & Stats

Major League SoccerSat, 24 Oct 2026 19:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Columbus Crew54%

Columbus Crew 54%
Draw 24%
Toronto FC 22%
  • Columbus Crew 54%
  • Draw 24%
  • Toronto FC 22%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Columbus Crew, rating it at 53.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Columbus Crew won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 53.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 24.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Columbus Crew: WLDWW

Toronto FC: DLDDL

Head-to-head

  • 2Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-09-20Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC1–1
2025-08-16Toronto FC vs Columbus Crew1–1

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FAQ

Who will win Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC?
Tofiko's model favours Columbus Crew (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC kick off?
Sat, 24 Oct 2026 19:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
What is the Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

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