Toronto FCvs
New York Red BullsToronto FC 1-1 New York Red Bulls — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Wed, 25 Jun 2025 23:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Toronto FC41%
- Toronto FC 41%
- Draw 28%
- New York Red Bulls 32%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Toronto FC, rating it at 40.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Toronto FC won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 40.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Toronto FC's last 5 produced 22 goals — 4.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. New York Red Bulls's 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- Toronto FC's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 11 Sep 2026.
Toronto FC: WDDWD
New York Red Bulls: LDLDL
Head-to-head
As of 11 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-25 | Toronto FC vs New York Red Bulls | 1–1 |
| 2025-03-22 | New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Toronto FC vs New York Red Bulls?
- Tofiko's model favours Toronto FC (41% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Toronto FC vs New York Red Bulls kick off?
- Wed, 25 Jun 2025 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the Toronto FC vs New York Red Bulls head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.