Orlando Cityvs
Nashville SCOrlando City vs Nashville SC Prediction, H2H & Stats
Major League SoccerSun, 26 Jul 2026 00:45 GMTStatus: finished
Final: Orlando City 1–0 Nashville SC
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Orlando City40%
- Orlando City 40%
- Draw 23%
- Nashville SC 37%
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Create a free accountModel families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Orlando City, rating it at 40.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Orlando City won 2 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 40.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Orlando City's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. Nashville SC's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
The model puts the draw at 22.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Orlando City's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Orlando City: WWLWD
Nashville SC: LWWWW
Head-to-head
- 3Games
- 4.00Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | Orlando City vs Nashville SC | 1–0 |
| 2025-09-20 | Orlando City vs Nashville SC | 3–2 |
| 2025-08-24 | Nashville SC vs Orlando City | 5–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Orlando City vs Nashville SC?
- Tofiko's model favours Orlando City (40% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Orlando City vs Nashville SC kick off?
- Sun, 26 Jul 2026 00:45 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Orlando City vs Nashville SC head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 3 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.