Nashville SC crestNashville SCvsOrlando City crestOrlando City

Nashville SC 5-1 Orlando City — Result, H2H & Form

Major League Soccer 2026Sun, 24 Aug 2025 00:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Nashville SC48%

  • Nashville SC 48%
  • Draw 23%
  • Orlando City 30%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Nashville SC, rating it at 47.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and Nashville SC won 1 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 47.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 22.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 12 Sep 2026.

Nashville SC: LDWWW

Orlando City: WWDWL

Head-to-head

As of 12 Sep 2026.

  • 3Games
  • 4.00Avg goals
  • 67%Both scored
  • 67%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-07-26Orlando City vs Nashville SC1–0
2025-09-20Orlando City vs Nashville SC3–2
2025-08-24Nashville SC vs Orlando City5–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Nashville SC vs Orlando City?
Tofiko's model favours Nashville SC (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Nashville SC vs Orlando City kick off?
Sun, 24 Aug 2025 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
What is the Nashville SC vs Orlando City head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 3 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.

More predictions

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.

First legOrlando City SC 1-0 Nashville SC26 Jul 2026 →