New York City FCvs
Orlando CityNew York City FC 2-1 Orlando City — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sun, 09 Mar 2025 00:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs New York City FC46%
Tofiko46% / 24% / 30%
- New York City FC
- Draw
- Orlando City
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick New York City FC, rating it at 45.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and New York City FC won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. Orlando City's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. New York City FC's 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Orlando City's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 3 Oct 2026.
New York City FC: DLWLD
Orlando City: LLLWW
Head-to-head
As of 3 Oct 2026.
- 2Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-17 | Orlando City vs New York City FC | 1–2 |
| 2025-03-09 | New York City FC vs Orlando City | 2–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win New York City FC vs Orlando City?
- Tofiko's model favours New York City FC (46% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does New York City FC vs Orlando City kick off?
- Sun, 09 Mar 2025 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the New York City FC vs Orlando City head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.