Orlando Cityvs
Sporting Kansas CityOrlando City 3-1 Sporting Kansas City — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sun, 17 Aug 2025 02:40 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Orlando City69%
- Orlando City 69%
- Draw 18%
- Sporting Kansas City 14%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Orlando City, rating it at 68.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met once, and Orlando City won it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 68.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 17.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026.
Orlando City: WLDDL
Sporting Kansas City: DLLLW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026.
- 1Games
- 4.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-17 | Orlando City vs Sporting Kansas City | 3–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Orlando City vs Sporting Kansas City?
- Tofiko's model favours Orlando City (69% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Orlando City vs Sporting Kansas City kick off?
- Sun, 17 Aug 2025 02:40 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the Orlando City vs Sporting Kansas City head-to-head record?
- In their last 1 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.