Philadelphia Unionvs
New York Red BullsPhiladelphia Union 3-1 New York Red Bulls — Result, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerWed, 22 Jul 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Philadelphia Union54%
- Philadelphia Union
- Draw
- New York Red Bulls
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Philadelphia Union, rating it at 54.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Philadelphia Union won 3 of 4. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. Philadelphia Union's last 5 produced 25 goals — 5.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 2. New York Red Bulls's 5 produced 7, at 1.4 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Philadelphia Union's games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 3 Oct 2026.
Philadelphia Union: WWWWW
New York Red Bulls: LWWLD
Head-to-head
As of 3 Oct 2026.
- 4Games
- 2.75Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union | 1–3 |
| 2026-07-22 | Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls | 3–1 |
| 2025-08-16 | New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union | 1–0 |
| 2025-07-12 | Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls | 2–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls?
- Tofiko's model favours Philadelphia Union (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls kick off?
- Wed, 22 Jul 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 3 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.75 goals per game.