Orlando City crestOrlando CityvsPhiladelphia Union crestPhiladelphia Union

Orlando City 2-4 Philadelphia Union — Result, H2H & Form

Major League Soccer 2026Sun, 23 Feb 2025 00:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Philadelphia Union38%

Tofiko38% / 24% / 38%
  • Orlando City
  • Draw
  • Philadelphia Union

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Philadelphia Union, rating it at 37.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and Orlando City won 1 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

What to keep in mind

  • Philadelphia Union's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 21 Sep 2026.

Orlando City: LLWWW

Philadelphia Union: WWWWW

Head-to-head

As of 21 Sep 2026.

  • 3Games
  • 4.33Avg goals
  • 67%Both scored
  • 67%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-13Orlando City vs Philadelphia Union4–3
2025-04-05Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City0–0
2025-02-23Orlando City vs Philadelphia Union2–4

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Orlando City vs Philadelphia Union?
Tofiko's model favours Philadelphia Union (38% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Orlando City vs Philadelphia Union kick off?
Sun, 23 Feb 2025 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
What is the Orlando City vs Philadelphia Union head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 4.33 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.

Reverse fixturePhiladelphia Union vs Orlando City SC26 Sept 2026 →