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Portland Timbers crestPortland TimbersvsSeattle Sounders FC crestSeattle Sounders FC

Portland Timbers vs Seattle Sounders FC Prediction, H2H & Stats

Major League SoccerSun, 02 Aug 2026 02:45 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Portland Timbers45%

Portland Timbers 45%
Draw 24%
Seattle Sounders FC 32%
  • Portland Timbers 45%
  • Draw 24%
  • Seattle Sounders FC 32%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Portland Timbers, rating it at 44.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and Portland Timbers won 1 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 44.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 23.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Portland Timbers: WDWLL

Seattle Sounders FC: LLLLL

Head-to-head

  • 3Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 67%Both scored
  • 33%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-07-17Seattle Sounders FC vs Portland Timbers1–5
2025-10-05Seattle Sounders FC vs Portland Timbers1–0
2025-05-18Portland Timbers vs Seattle Sounders FC1–1

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FAQ

Who will win Portland Timbers vs Seattle Sounders FC?
Tofiko's model favours Portland Timbers (45% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Portland Timbers vs Seattle Sounders FC kick off?
Sun, 02 Aug 2026 02:45 GMT — Major League Soccer.
What is the Portland Timbers vs Seattle Sounders FC head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

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