Seattle Sounders FCvs
Portland TimbersSeattle Sounders FC 1-5 Portland Timbers — Result, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerFri, 17 Jul 2026 02:40 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Seattle Sounders FC54%
- Seattle Sounders FC 54%
- Draw 24%
- Portland Timbers 22%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Seattle Sounders FC, rating it at 54.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Seattle Sounders FC won 1 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 54.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Portland Timbers's last 5 produced 22 goals — 4.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Seattle Sounders FC's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
The model puts the draw at 23.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Portland Timbers's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 11 Sep 2026.
Seattle Sounders FC: DDDLL
Portland Timbers: DWLDW
Head-to-head
As of 11 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | Portland Timbers vs Seattle Sounders FC | 2–1 |
| 2026-07-17 | Seattle Sounders FC vs Portland Timbers | 1–5 |
| 2025-10-05 | Seattle Sounders FC vs Portland Timbers | 1–0 |
| 2025-05-18 | Portland Timbers vs Seattle Sounders FC | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Seattle Sounders FC vs Portland Timbers?
- Tofiko's model favours Seattle Sounders FC (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Seattle Sounders FC vs Portland Timbers kick off?
- Fri, 17 Jul 2026 02:40 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Seattle Sounders FC vs Portland Timbers head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.