Real Salt Lakevs
Colorado RapidsReal Salt Lake 1-0 Colorado Rapids — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sun, 05 Oct 2025 01:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Real Salt Lake45%
- Real Salt Lake 45%
- Draw 26%
- Colorado Rapids 29%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Real Salt Lake, rating it at 45.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Real Salt Lake won 2 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 45.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Real Salt Lake's last 5 produced 19 goals — 3.8 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. Colorado Rapids's 5 produced 8, at 1.6 per game.
The model puts the draw at 25.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026.
Real Salt Lake: LLDWW
Colorado Rapids: LWWWL
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026.
- 3Games
- 1.67Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Real Salt Lake vs Colorado Rapids | 2–1 |
| 2025-10-05 | Real Salt Lake vs Colorado Rapids | 1–0 |
| 2025-05-18 | Colorado Rapids vs Real Salt Lake | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Real Salt Lake vs Colorado Rapids?
- Tofiko's model favours Real Salt Lake (45% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Real Salt Lake vs Colorado Rapids kick off?
- Sun, 05 Oct 2025 01:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the Real Salt Lake vs Colorado Rapids head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 3 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.67 goals per game.