Real Salt Lakevs
FC DallasReal Salt Lake 3-4 FC Dallas — Result, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerThu, 20 Aug 2026 01:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Real Salt Lake45%
- Real Salt Lake 45%
- Draw 24%
- FC Dallas 31%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Real Salt Lake, rating it at 44.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Real Salt Lake won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 44.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 4 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026.
Real Salt Lake: LLDWW
FC Dallas: WWLWW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026.
- 4Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Real Salt Lake vs FC Dallas | 3–4 |
| 2026-05-10 | FC Dallas vs Real Salt Lake | 3–1 |
| 2025-05-11 | FC Dallas vs Real Salt Lake | 1–1 |
| 2025-03-23 | Real Salt Lake vs FC Dallas | 0–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Real Salt Lake vs FC Dallas?
- Tofiko's model favours Real Salt Lake (45% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Real Salt Lake vs FC Dallas kick off?
- Thu, 20 Aug 2026 01:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Real Salt Lake vs FC Dallas head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.