Real Salt Lakevs
FC DallasReal Salt Lake vs FC Dallas Prediction, H2H & Stats
Major League SoccerThu, 20 Aug 2026 01:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Real Salt Lake41%
- Real Salt Lake 41%
- Draw 25%
- FC Dallas 35%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Real Salt Lake, rating it at 40.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Real Salt Lake won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 40.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 3 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Real Salt Lake: LLWDW
FC Dallas: LDWWL
Head-to-head
- 3Games
- 2.33Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | FC Dallas vs Real Salt Lake | 3–1 |
| 2025-05-11 | FC Dallas vs Real Salt Lake | 1–1 |
| 2025-03-23 | Real Salt Lake vs FC Dallas | 0–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Real Salt Lake vs FC Dallas?
- Tofiko's model favours Real Salt Lake (41% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Real Salt Lake vs FC Dallas kick off?
- Thu, 20 Aug 2026 01:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Real Salt Lake vs FC Dallas head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.33 goals per game.