FC Dallasvs
Real Salt LakeFC Dallas 1-1 Real Salt Lake — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sun, 11 May 2025 00:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Dallas51%
- FC Dallas 51%
- Draw 24%
- Real Salt Lake 25%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Dallas, rating it at 50.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and FC Dallas won 3 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 50.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. FC Dallas's last 5 produced 28 goals — 5.6 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Real Salt Lake's 5 produced 14, at 2.8 per game.
The model puts the draw at 24.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- FC Dallas's games are very high-scoring at 5.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 12 Sep 2026.
FC Dallas: WWDLW
Real Salt Lake: LDLLL
Head-to-head
As of 12 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Real Salt Lake vs FC Dallas | 3–4 |
| 2026-05-10 | FC Dallas vs Real Salt Lake | 3–1 |
| 2025-05-11 | FC Dallas vs Real Salt Lake | 1–1 |
| 2025-03-23 | Real Salt Lake vs FC Dallas | 0–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win FC Dallas vs Real Salt Lake?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Dallas (51% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Dallas vs Real Salt Lake kick off?
- Sun, 11 May 2025 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the FC Dallas vs Real Salt Lake head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.