Real Salt Lake crestReal Salt LakevsSporting Kansas City crestSporting Kansas City

Real Salt Lake 2-1 Sporting Kansas City — Result, H2H & Form

Major League Soccer 2026Sun, 14 Sep 2025 01:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Real Salt Lake52%

Tofiko52% / 24% / 25%
  • Real Salt Lake
  • Draw
  • Sporting Kansas City

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Real Salt Lake, rating it at 51.7% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Real Salt Lake won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. Sporting Kansas City's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Real Salt Lake's 5 produced 13, at 2.6 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • Sporting Kansas City's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 3 Oct 2026.

Real Salt Lake: WLLLL

Sporting Kansas City: LWLWL

Head-to-head

As of 3 Oct 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 2.50Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-09-14Real Salt Lake vs Sporting Kansas City2–1
2025-06-29Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake1–1

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FAQ

Who will win Real Salt Lake vs Sporting Kansas City?
Tofiko's model favours Real Salt Lake (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Real Salt Lake vs Sporting Kansas City kick off?
Sun, 14 Sep 2025 01:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
What is the Real Salt Lake vs Sporting Kansas City head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureSporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake18 Oct 2026 →