Real Salt Lakevs
Sporting Kansas CityReal Salt Lake 2-1 Sporting Kansas City — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sun, 14 Sep 2025 01:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Real Salt Lake52%
- Real Salt Lake 52%
- Draw 24%
- Sporting Kansas City 25%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Real Salt Lake, rating it at 51.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Real Salt Lake won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 51.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 12 Sep 2026.
Real Salt Lake: LDLLL
Sporting Kansas City: LLLDL
Head-to-head
As of 12 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-14 | Real Salt Lake vs Sporting Kansas City | 2–1 |
| 2025-06-29 | Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Real Salt Lake vs Sporting Kansas City?
- Tofiko's model favours Real Salt Lake (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Real Salt Lake vs Sporting Kansas City kick off?
- Sun, 14 Sep 2025 01:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the Real Salt Lake vs Sporting Kansas City head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.