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Austin FC crestAustin FCvsSan Diego FC crestSan Diego FC

Austin FC vs San Diego FC Prediction, H2H & Form

Major League SoccerSun, 27 Sep 2026 00:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs San Diego FC46%

  • Austin FC 30%
  • Draw 23%
  • San Diego FC 46%

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

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Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks San Diego FC, rating it at 46.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and Austin FC won 1 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 46.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 23.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 34 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Austin FC: DWLDW

San Diego FC: WLWWW

Head-to-head

As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 34 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 3Games
  • 3.33Avg goals
  • 33%Both scored
  • 67%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-14San Diego FC vs Austin FC5–0
2025-06-01San Diego FC vs Austin FC2–0
2025-03-23Austin FC vs San Diego FC2–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Austin FC vs San Diego FC?
Tofiko's model favours San Diego FC (46% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Austin FC vs San Diego FC kick off?
Sun, 27 Sep 2026 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
What is the Austin FC vs San Diego FC head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 3 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.33 goals per game.

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