San Diego FC vs FC Dallas Prediction, H2H & Stats
Major League SoccerSun, 26 Jul 2026 01:40 GMTStatus: finished
Final: San Diego FC 1–0 FC Dallas
Tofiko prediction
Model backs San Diego FC53%
- San Diego FC 53%
- Draw 21%
- FC Dallas 26%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick San Diego FC, rating it at 52.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and San Diego FC won all of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 52.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 21.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
San Diego FC: WLLDW
FC Dallas: LDWWL
Head-to-head
- 3Games
- 3.67Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | San Diego FC vs FC Dallas | 1–0 |
| 2025-06-29 | FC Dallas vs San Diego FC | 2–3 |
| 2025-05-04 | San Diego FC vs FC Dallas | 5–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win San Diego FC vs FC Dallas?
- Tofiko's model favours San Diego FC (53% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does San Diego FC vs FC Dallas kick off?
- Sun, 26 Jul 2026 01:40 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the San Diego FC vs FC Dallas head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.67 goals per game.