FC Dallasvs
San Diego FCFC Dallas 2-3 San Diego FC — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sun, 29 Jun 2025 00:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs San Diego FC44%
- FC Dallas 33%
- Draw 23%
- San Diego FC 44%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks San Diego FC, rating it at 43.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and FC Dallas won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 43.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. FC Dallas's last 5 produced 28 goals — 5.6 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. San Diego FC's 5 produced 17, at 3.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 23.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- FC Dallas's games are very high-scoring at 5.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 12 Sep 2026.
FC Dallas: WWDLW
San Diego FC: LLWWL
Head-to-head
As of 12 Sep 2026.
- 3Games
- 3.67Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | San Diego FC vs FC Dallas | 1–0 |
| 2025-06-29 | FC Dallas vs San Diego FC | 2–3 |
| 2025-05-04 | San Diego FC vs FC Dallas | 5–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win FC Dallas vs San Diego FC?
- Tofiko's model favours San Diego FC (44% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does FC Dallas vs San Diego FC kick off?
- Sun, 29 Jun 2025 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the FC Dallas vs San Diego FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.67 goals per game.