Houston Dynamo crestHouston DynamovsSan Diego FC crestSan Diego FC

Houston Dynamo 2-4 San Diego FC — Result, H2H & Form

Major League Soccer 2026Sun, 05 Oct 2025 00:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs San Diego FC49%

Tofiko27% / 23% / 49%
  • Houston Dynamo
  • Draw
  • San Diego FC

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick San Diego FC, rating it at 49.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and Houston Dynamo won 2 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. San Diego FC's last 5 produced 21 goals — 4.2 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 5. Houston Dynamo's 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • San Diego FC's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 3 Oct 2026.

Houston Dynamo: LDLWD

San Diego FC: DDLLL

Head-to-head

As of 3 Oct 2026.

  • 3Games
  • 4.67Avg goals
  • 67%Both scored
  • 67%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-21Houston Dynamo vs San Diego FC1–0
2025-10-05Houston Dynamo vs San Diego FC2–4
2025-07-06San Diego FC vs Houston Dynamo3–4

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FAQ

Who will win Houston Dynamo vs San Diego FC?
Tofiko's model favours San Diego FC (49% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Houston Dynamo vs San Diego FC kick off?
Sun, 05 Oct 2025 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
What is the Houston Dynamo vs San Diego FC head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 4.67 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureSan Diego vs Houston Dynamo15 Oct 2026 →