Portland Timbersvs
San Diego FCPortland Timbers 3-1 San Diego FC — Result, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerThu, 20 Aug 2026 02:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs San Diego FC40%
- Portland Timbers 37%
- Draw 23%
- San Diego FC 40%
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Create a free accountModel families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks San Diego FC, rating it at 40.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Portland Timbers won 2 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 40.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 22.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Portland Timbers's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026.
Portland Timbers: WLWLW
San Diego FC: LWWWL
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026.
- 4Games
- 2.75Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Portland Timbers vs San Diego FC | 3–1 |
| 2026-04-26 | San Diego FC vs Portland Timbers | 1–2 |
| 2025-10-19 | Portland Timbers vs San Diego FC | 0–4 |
| 2025-08-24 | San Diego FC vs Portland Timbers | 0–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Portland Timbers vs San Diego FC?
- Tofiko's model favours San Diego FC (40% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Portland Timbers vs San Diego FC kick off?
- Thu, 20 Aug 2026 02:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Portland Timbers vs San Diego FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.75 goals per game.