San Diego FCvs
San Jose EarthquakesSan Diego FC vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction, H2H & Stats
Major League SoccerThu, 10 Sep 2026 02:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs San Diego FC55%
- San Diego FC 55%
- Draw 20%
- San Jose Earthquakes 25%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick San Diego FC, rating it at 55.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and San Diego FC won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 55.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 19.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
San Diego FC: WLLDW
San Jose Earthquakes: DLLWL
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-28 | San Diego FC vs San Jose Earthquakes | 0–1 |
| 2025-08-17 | San Jose Earthquakes vs San Diego FC | 1–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win San Diego FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?
- Tofiko's model favours San Diego FC (55% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does San Diego FC vs San Jose Earthquakes kick off?
- Thu, 10 Sep 2026 02:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the San Diego FC vs San Jose Earthquakes head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.