San Diego FCvs
San Jose EarthquakesSan Diego FC 2-3 San Jose Earthquakes — Result, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerThu, 10 Sep 2026 02:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs San Diego FC68%
- San Diego FC 68%
- Draw 18%
- San Jose Earthquakes 14%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick San Diego FC, rating it at 68.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and San Diego FC won 1 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 68.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 18.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 11 Sep 2026.
San Diego FC: LLWWL
San Jose Earthquakes: WDDLL
Head-to-head
As of 11 Sep 2026.
- 3Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | San Diego FC vs San Jose Earthquakes | 2–3 |
| 2025-09-28 | San Diego FC vs San Jose Earthquakes | 0–1 |
| 2025-08-17 | San Jose Earthquakes vs San Diego FC | 1–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win San Diego FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?
- Tofiko's model favours San Diego FC (68% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does San Diego FC vs San Jose Earthquakes kick off?
- Thu, 10 Sep 2026 02:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the San Diego FC vs San Jose Earthquakes head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.