San Jose Earthquakesvs
San Diego FCSan Jose Earthquakes 1-2 San Diego FC — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sun, 17 Aug 2025 23:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs San Diego FC47%
Tofiko32% / 22% / 47%
Market37% / 24% / 39%
- San Jose Earthquakes
- Draw
- San Diego FC
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick San Diego FC, rating it at 46.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and San Jose Earthquakes won 2 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
What to keep in mind
- San Diego FC's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 3 Oct 2026.
San Jose Earthquakes: WDWWD
San Diego FC: DDLLL
Head-to-head
As of 3 Oct 2026.
- 3Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | San Diego FC vs San Jose Earthquakes | 2–3 |
| 2025-09-28 | San Diego FC vs San Jose Earthquakes | 0–1 |
| 2025-08-17 | San Jose Earthquakes vs San Diego FC | 1–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win San Jose Earthquakes vs San Diego FC?
- Tofiko's model favours San Diego FC (47% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does San Jose Earthquakes vs San Diego FC kick off?
- Sun, 17 Aug 2025 23:00 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the San Jose Earthquakes vs San Diego FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.