San Diego FCvs
San Jose EarthquakesSan Diego FC vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerThu, 10 Sep 2026 02:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs San Diego FC55%
- San Diego FC 55%
- Draw 20%
- San Jose Earthquakes 25%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick San Diego FC, rating it at 55.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and San Diego FC won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 55.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 19.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 18 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
San Diego FC: WLWWW
San Jose Earthquakes: LLLLD
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 18 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 2Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-28 | San Diego FC vs San Jose Earthquakes | 0–1 |
| 2025-08-17 | San Jose Earthquakes vs San Diego FC | 1–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win San Diego FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?
- Tofiko's model favours San Diego FC (55% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does San Diego FC vs San Jose Earthquakes kick off?
- Thu, 10 Sep 2026 02:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the San Diego FC vs San Jose Earthquakes head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.