San Jose Earthquakesvs
San Diego FCSan Jose Earthquakes 1-2 San Diego FC — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sun, 17 Aug 2025 23:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs San Diego FC47%
- San Jose Earthquakes 32%
- Draw 22%
- San Diego FC 47%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick San Diego FC, rating it at 46.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and San Jose Earthquakes won 2 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 46.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 21.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 11 Sep 2026.
San Jose Earthquakes: WDDLL
San Diego FC: LLWWL
Head-to-head
As of 11 Sep 2026.
- 3Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | San Diego FC vs San Jose Earthquakes | 2–3 |
| 2025-09-28 | San Diego FC vs San Jose Earthquakes | 0–1 |
| 2025-08-17 | San Jose Earthquakes vs San Diego FC | 1–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win San Jose Earthquakes vs San Diego FC?
- Tofiko's model favours San Diego FC (47% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does San Jose Earthquakes vs San Diego FC kick off?
- Sun, 17 Aug 2025 23:00 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the San Jose Earthquakes vs San Diego FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.