San Jose Earthquakesvs
Inter Miami CFSan Jose Earthquakes 3-3 Inter Miami CF — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Thu, 15 May 2025 02:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Inter Miami CF50%
- San Jose Earthquakes 31%
- Draw 19%
- Inter Miami CF 50%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Inter Miami CF, rating it at 49.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met once, and San Jose Earthquakes did not win it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 49.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 19.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: one game, no win for the side we back.
- Inter Miami CF's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026.
San Jose Earthquakes: LLLLD
Inter Miami CF: LDLLL
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026.
- 1Games
- 6.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-15 | San Jose Earthquakes vs Inter Miami CF | 3–3 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win San Jose Earthquakes vs Inter Miami CF?
- Tofiko's model favours Inter Miami CF (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does San Jose Earthquakes vs Inter Miami CF kick off?
- Thu, 15 May 2025 02:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the San Jose Earthquakes vs Inter Miami CF head-to-head record?
- In their last 1 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 6.00 goals per game.