San Jose Earthquakes crestSan Jose EarthquakesvsNew York Red Bulls crestNew York Red Bulls

San Jose Earthquakes 1-1 New York Red Bulls — Result, H2H & Form

Major League Soccer 2026Sun, 06 Jul 2025 02:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs San Jose Earthquakes43%

Tofiko43% / 23% / 34%
  • San Jose Earthquakes
  • Draw
  • New York Red Bulls

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick San Jose Earthquakes, rating it at 43.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met once, and San Jose Earthquakes did not win it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. San Jose Earthquakes's last 5 produced 16 goals — 3.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. New York Red Bulls's 5 produced 7, at 1.4 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: one game, no win for the side we back.

Recent form

As of 5 Oct 2026.

San Jose Earthquakes: WDWWD

New York Red Bulls: LWWLD

Head-to-head

As of 5 Oct 2026.

  • 1Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-07-06San Jose Earthquakes vs New York Red Bulls1–1

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FAQ

Who will win San Jose Earthquakes vs New York Red Bulls?
Tofiko's model favours San Jose Earthquakes (43% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does San Jose Earthquakes vs New York Red Bulls kick off?
Sun, 06 Jul 2025 02:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
What is the San Jose Earthquakes vs New York Red Bulls head-to-head record?
In their last 1 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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