San Jose Earthquakesvs
New York Red BullsSan Jose Earthquakes 1-1 New York Red Bulls — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sun, 06 Jul 2025 02:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs San Jose Earthquakes43%
- San Jose Earthquakes 43%
- Draw 23%
- New York Red Bulls 34%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick San Jose Earthquakes, rating it at 43.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met once, and San Jose Earthquakes did not win it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 43.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: one game, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026.
San Jose Earthquakes: LLLLD
New York Red Bulls: DLLWL
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026.
- 1Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-06 | San Jose Earthquakes vs New York Red Bulls | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win San Jose Earthquakes vs New York Red Bulls?
- Tofiko's model favours San Jose Earthquakes (43% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does San Jose Earthquakes vs New York Red Bulls kick off?
- Sun, 06 Jul 2025 02:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the San Jose Earthquakes vs New York Red Bulls head-to-head record?
- In their last 1 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.