San Jose Earthquakesvs
Portland TimbersSan Jose Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers Prediction, H2H & Stats
Major League SoccerSun, 27 Sep 2026 02:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs San Jose Earthquakes53%
- San Jose Earthquakes 53%
- Draw 22%
- Portland Timbers 25%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick San Jose Earthquakes, rating it at 52.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and San Jose Earthquakes won 2 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 52.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 22.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
San Jose Earthquakes: DLLWL
Portland Timbers: WDWLL
Head-to-head
- 3Games
- 3.67Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Portland Timbers vs San Jose Earthquakes | 1–3 |
| 2025-06-14 | Portland Timbers vs San Jose Earthquakes | 1–1 |
| 2025-05-04 | San Jose Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers | 4–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win San Jose Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers?
- Tofiko's model favours San Jose Earthquakes (53% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does San Jose Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers kick off?
- Sun, 27 Sep 2026 02:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the San Jose Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.67 goals per game.