San Jose Earthquakesvs
Portland TimbersSan Jose Earthquakes 3-1 Portland Timbers — Result, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSun, 27 Sep 2026 02:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs San Jose Earthquakes43%
Tofiko43% / 22% / 35%
Market48% / 23% / 29%
- San Jose Earthquakes
- Draw
- Portland Timbers
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick San Jose Earthquakes, rating it at 42.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and San Jose Earthquakes won 3 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
What to keep in mind
- Portland Timbers's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 3 Oct 2026.
San Jose Earthquakes: WDWWD
Portland Timbers: LLLDW
Head-to-head
As of 3 Oct 2026.
- 4Games
- 3.75Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | San Jose Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers | 3–1 |
| 2026-05-24 | Portland Timbers vs San Jose Earthquakes | 1–3 |
| 2025-06-14 | Portland Timbers vs San Jose Earthquakes | 1–1 |
| 2025-05-04 | San Jose Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers | 4–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win San Jose Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers?
- Tofiko's model favours San Jose Earthquakes (43% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does San Jose Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers kick off?
- Sun, 27 Sep 2026 02:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the San Jose Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.75 goals per game.