San Jose Earthquakesvs
Portland TimbersSan Jose Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers Prediction, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSun, 27 Sep 2026 02:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs San Jose Earthquakes53%
- San Jose Earthquakes 53%
- Draw 22%
- Portland Timbers 25%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick San Jose Earthquakes, rating it at 52.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and San Jose Earthquakes won 2 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 52.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 22.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 34 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
San Jose Earthquakes: LLLLD
Portland Timbers: DWLWL
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 34 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 3Games
- 3.67Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Portland Timbers vs San Jose Earthquakes | 1–3 |
| 2025-06-14 | Portland Timbers vs San Jose Earthquakes | 1–1 |
| 2025-05-04 | San Jose Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers | 4–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win San Jose Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers?
- Tofiko's model favours San Jose Earthquakes (53% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does San Jose Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers kick off?
- Sun, 27 Sep 2026 02:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the San Jose Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.67 goals per game.